On Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Atlanta Falcons will play the Pittsburgh Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Our computer model projects a win for the Steelers — keep scrolling for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons ranked 26th in the NFL with 18.9 points per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 18th in points allowed (321.1 points allowed per contest). The Steelers averaged 17.9 points per game on offense last season, which ranked them 27th in the NFL. On the defensive side of the ball, they ranked sixth, giving up 19.1 points per contest.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 65.5% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta put together a 5-12-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Falcons were favored by 3.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• Atlanta games hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
• Falcons games last season posted an average total of 40.1, which is 1.4 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Steelers Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Steelers, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
• Pittsburgh won 10 games against the spread last year, failing to cover seven times.
• The Steelers covered the spread when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs in three of three games last season.
• Last season, six Pittsburgh games went over the point total.
• Steelers games averaged 38.8 total points last season, 2.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

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