The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division play against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Hawks (13-18-0 ATS) have covered the spread 41.9% of the time, 8.1% less often than the Heat (14-14-0) this year.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as the underdog (50%).
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31), which is more often than Miami’s games have (15 out of 28).
• As a moneyline underdog this season, the Heat are 4-7, while the Hawks are 7-7 as moneyline favorites.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks rank seventh in the NBA with 117.2 points per game, but their defense has been less effective, surrendering 119.5 points per game (fourth-worst in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44 rebounds per game this season (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by averaging 46 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are collecting 29.7 per game (third-best in NBA).
• Atlanta is fifth-best in the NBA with 15.9 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fourth-worst in the league by committing 15.8 turnovers per contest.
• So far this year, the Hawks are sinking 12.6 threes per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (18th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat are 19th in the NBA in points scored (111.3 per game) and sixth in points conceded (108.6).
• Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the league in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• Miami is the fourth-best squad in the league in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• The Heat are ninth in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.6 per game) and fifth-best in 3-point percentage (37.8%).

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