Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Sunday Night Football Week 17

Published 7:37 pm Saturday, December 28, 2024

At Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29, the Washington Commanders play the Atlanta Falcons, beginning at 8:20 p.m. ET. The Commanders should be victorious, based on our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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On the offensive side of the ball, the Commanders have been a top-five unit, ranking fifth-best in the NFL by compiling 373.5 yards per game. They rank 10th on defense (322.9 yards allowed per game). The Falcons rank ninth with 360.9 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 16th with 335.3 total yards allowed per contest on the defensive side of the ball.

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3.5) Over (46.5) Commanders 29, Falcons 20

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The Falcons have a 39.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta has won six games against the spread this season, failing to cover or pushing nine times.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
  • Atlanta games have hit the over five out of 15 times this season.
  • Games involving the Falcons this year have averaged 46 points per game, a 0.5-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders’ implied win probability is 65.5%.
  • Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
  • The Commanders are 3-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Washington games have hit the over 10 out of 15 times this season.
  • The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 28.8 23.2 30.5 20.9 26.9 25.9
Falcons 21.8 23.3 22.1 21.6 21.4 25.1

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