Saturday’s game between the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) and Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has a projected final score of 79-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Alabama State, so it should be a lopsided matchup. The game will start at 4:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the point spread (22.5) against Alabama State. The two sides are projected to exceed the 140.5 over/under.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -22.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2500

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

Alabama State is 5-6-0 against the spread, while Mississippi Valley State’s ATS record this season is 3-8-0. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams put up 127.5 points per game combined, 13.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall over its last 10 games, while Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 5.1 points per game (scoring 76.3 points per game to rank 161st in college basketball while allowing 81.4 per outing to rank 348th in college basketball) and have a -66 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 7.6 boards on average. It collects 30.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 296th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 38.3 per outing.
• Alabama State hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball) at a 33.8% rate (188th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 per game its opponents make at a 34.9% rate.
• The Hornets rank 238th in college basketball by averaging 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 345th in college basketball, allowing 100.0 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (16th in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 11.4 it forces on average (224th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils are being outscored by 34.5 points per game, with a -449 scoring differential overall. They put up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball), and allow 85.7 per outing (360th in college basketball).
• The 23.8 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in the nation, 10.0 fewer than the 33.8 its opponents record.
• Mississippi Valley State knocks down 3.8 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball), 6.0 fewer than its opponents.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 15.8 turnovers per game (359th in college basketball), 6.0 more than the 9.8 it forces (332nd in college basketball).

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