Monday’s game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) taking on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 87-74 victory, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

According to our computer prediction, UAPB should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 15.5. The two sides are projected to go under the 163.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State has a 6-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to UAPB, who is 5-7-0 ATS. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Hornets are 6-6-0 and the Golden Lions are 9-3-0. The two teams put up 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in its past 10 games, while UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 2.6 points per game (scoring 76.9 points per game to rank 143rd in college basketball while giving up 79.5 per outing to rank 340th in college basketball) and have a -37 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama State ranks 295th in college basketball at 30.6 rebounds per game. That’s 6.8 fewer than the 37.4 its opponents average.
• Alabama State connects on 1.5 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.6 (47th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1.
• The Hornets rank 211th in college basketball with 94.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 325th in college basketball defensively with 98.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed 2.5 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.1 (10th in college basketball play) while forcing 11.6 (206th in college basketball).

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions put up 75.0 points per game (196th in college basketball) while giving up 92.6 per outing (364th in college basketball). They have a -247 scoring differential and have been outscored by 17.6 points per game.
• UAPB loses the rebound battle by 6.4 boards on average. It collects 29.6 rebounds per game, 321st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 36.0.
• UAPB makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (230th in college basketball), compared to the 10.6 per contest its opponents make, shooting 35.2% from deep.
• UAPB has committed 15.9 turnovers per game (359th in college basketball), 4.4 more than the 11.5 it forces (217th in college basketball).

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