Thursday’s game that pits the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) versus the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 73-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, who is favored in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 9.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the point spread, which is listed at 6.5. The two teams are projected to exceed the 134.5 total.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy is 8-4-0 against the spread, while Texas State’s ATS record this season is 7-6-0. The Trojans have a 5-7-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bobcats have a record of 7-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests, while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 8.3 points per game (scoring 73.7 points per game to rank 231st in college basketball while allowing 65.4 per contest to rank 48th in college basketball) and have a +117 scoring differential overall.
• Troy records 34.6 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball) while conceding 27.9 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.7 boards per game.
• Troy makes 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball) at a 28.6% rate (347th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make while shooting 32.3% from beyond the arc.
• The Trojans rank 249th in college basketball with 93.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 25th in college basketball defensively with 82.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Trojans commit 14.7 per game (346th in college basketball) and force 14.0 (49th in college basketball action).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats have a +99 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.6 points per game. They’re putting up 75.5 points per game, 178th in college basketball, and are allowing 68.9 per contest to rank 117th in college basketball.
• Texas State averages 33.1 rebounds per game (172nd in college basketball) while allowing 28.0 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.1 boards per game.
• Texas State knocks down 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 1.8 fewer than its opponents.
• Texas State and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Bobcats commit 11.3 per game (160th in college basketball) and force 11.4 (225th in college basketball).

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