Saturday’s contest that pits the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) against the South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 69-67 in favor of Troy. Tipoff is at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the spread (3.5) versus Troy. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 130.5 total.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -168, South Alabama +136

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy has put together a 10-6-0 record against the spread this season, while South Alabama is 11-6-0. The Trojans have a 7-9-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Jaguars have a record of 6-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its past 10 contests, while South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +128 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.5 points per game (217th in college basketball) while allowing 66.4 per contest (50th in college basketball).
• Troy grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) while conceding 28.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.6 boards per game.
• Troy makes 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1. It shoots 29.8% from deep while its opponents hit 33.5% from long range.
• The Trojans put up 93.5 points per 100 possessions (232nd in college basketball), while giving up 84.4 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 13.3 turnovers per game (64th in college basketball) while committing 14.3 (345th in college basketball action).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars’ +234 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.9 points per game (209th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per contest (ninth in college basketball).
• The 30.8 rebounds per game South Alabama accumulates rank 278th in the country, 1.5 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents record.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) while shooting 34.6% from deep (137th in college basketball). It is making 1.1 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 11.0 per game at 32.8%.
• South Alabama has won the turnover battle by 4.8 per game, committing 8.4 (first in college basketball) while forcing 13.2 (72nd in college basketball).

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