Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

A victory by the New Orleans Saints over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Falcons are averaging 307.3 yards per game offensively this season (20th in NFL), and they are giving up 326.7 yards per game (18th) on the other side of the ball. In terms of total offense, the Saints rank ninth in the NFL (343.3 total yards per game) and 21st on the other side of the ball (335.3 total yards allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3) Over (41) Saints 22, Falcons 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
  • So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have gone over the point total.
  • Falcons games average 45.2 total points per game this season, 4.2 more than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has a record of 2-1-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have won their only game this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • So far this year, two New Orleans games have hit the over.
  • This season, Saints games have resulted in an average scoring total of 46, which is five points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 16.3 20.3 13.5 20 22 21
Saints 34.3 14.7 29.5 12.5 44 19

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