Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Thursday Night Football Week 5

Published 7:38 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

The Atlanta Falcons will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts the Falcons will earn a victory — see below for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons are putting up 309.3 yards per game on offense this year (19th in NFL), and they are allowing 336.5 yards per game (19th) on defense. With 24.3 points per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers rank 11th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank ninth, allowing 19.5 points per contest.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Toss Up (Spread: Falcons by 1.5) Under (44) Falcons 22, Buccaneers 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has won one game against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • So far this season, just one Atlanta game has hit the over.
  • Falcons games average 44.3 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 0.3 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Buccaneers based on the moneyline is 48.8%.
  • Tampa Bay has compiled a 3-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Buccaneers have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total twice this season.
  • The average total points scored in Buccaneers games this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 18.8 21.3 17.7 21.3 22 21
Buccaneers 24.3 19.5 25.7 20.7 20 16

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