Troy vs. Toledo Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 4

Published 7:39 pm Sunday, November 3, 2024

Monday’s game between the Troy Trojans (0-0) and Toledo Rockets (0-0) squaring off at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 78-75 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on November 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Toledo projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Troy. The over/under is listed at 153.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.

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Troy vs. Toledo Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -6.5
  • Point total: 153.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -260, Toledo +205

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Troy vs. Toledo Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Toledo 75

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Toledo

  • Pick ATS: Toledo (+6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (153.5)

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Troy Performance Insights

  • Last year, Troy was 43rd in college basketball on offense (79.6 points scored per game) and 130th on defense (70.7 points conceded).
  • The Trojans collected 34.6 rebounds per game and conceded 30.2 boards last year, ranking 61st and 101st, respectively, in the country.
  • Troy was 132nd in the nation in assists (13.7 per game) last year.
  • Beyond the arc, the Trojans were 62nd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (8.6) last season. They were 118th in 3-point percentage at 35.1%.
  • Defensively, Troy was 94th in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.7 last year. It was 274th in 3-point percentage allowed at 35.0%.
  • Last season, Troy attempted 40.3% of its shots from behind the 3-point line, and 59.7% from inside it. In terms of made shots, 32.1% of Troy’s baskets were 3-pointers, and 67.9% were 2-pointers.

Toledo Performance Insights

  • Toledo posted 80.0 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 76.1 points per contest (296th-ranked).
  • Last season the Rockets averaged 30.4 rebounds per game (283rd-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 30.3 rebounds per contest (109th-ranked).
  • Toledo averaged 13.0 dimes per game, which ranked them 181st in the nation.
  • With 10.1 turnovers per game, the Rockets were 76th in the country. They forced 12.6 turnovers per contest, which ranked 73rd in college basketball.
  • The Rockets ranked 14th-best in the nation with a three-point shooting percentage of 37.7%. They ranked 265th in college basketball by sinking 6.5 three-pointers per contest.
  • Toledo surrendered 7.6 threes per game (223rd-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing a 34.2% three-point percentage (229th-ranked).
  • In terms of shot breakdown, Toledo took 71.4% two-pointers (accounting for 77.5% of the team’s baskets) and 28.6% three-pointers (22.5%).

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