Saturday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) and the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 based on our computer prediction, with South Alabama securing the victory. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Troy is projected to cover the spread (3.5) against South Alabama. The two sides are projected to exceed the 130.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -170, Troy +140

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

South Alabama is 11-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Troy’s 9-6-0 ATS record. The Jaguars have a 6-10-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Trojans have a record of 7-8-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 148.6 points per game, 18.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars have a +233 scoring differential, topping opponents by 12.9 points per game. They’re putting up 74.5 points per game to rank 201st in college basketball and are giving up 61.6 per contest to rank eighth in college basketball.
• The 30.9 rebounds per game South Alabama averages rank 276th in college basketball. Its opponents pull down 31.9 per contest.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1). It is shooting 34.3% from deep (153rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.9%.
• The Jaguars average 101.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (67th in college basketball), and give up 84 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• South Alabama has committed 5.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.1 (first in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +129 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.6 points per game. They’re putting up 74.1 points per game, 209th in college basketball, and are giving up 66.5 per outing to rank 57th in college basketball.
• Troy averages 34.5 rebounds per game (90th in college basketball) while conceding 28.1 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.4 boards per game.
• Troy makes 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (333rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 its opponents make, shooting 33% from beyond the arc.
• Troy has lost the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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